27 November 2008

HMRC Rips Off Small Businesses with VAT Change

Today, I received my formal notification of the change in VAT rates. The Brown led Labour Government have made huge a song and dance about the so-called 2.5% cut in the standard rate from 17.5% to 15%. I call it so-called because even goods sold at the standard rate of VAT will only see a 2.13% reduction in their retail selling prices.

As a small business I am a member of the Flat Rate scheme. This means rather than have a complicated system of working out the deductions relating to input VAT I merely pay a flat rate to HMRC. The Flat Rate Scheme is available to most businesses turning over less than £187,500 (including VAT). It is a scheme that the UK Government is obliged promote under a directive from the EU.

I was surprised to find that on checking the new "detailed guide" that the flat rate for my trade sector had fallen from 9.5% to 8.5%. After all, the standard rate had fallen 1/7th, that is 14.3%. Why should the flat rate for my sector fall by just 10.5%?

I investigated further. The average flat rate across 55 trade sectors is 8.9% until 30th November and falls to 8.1% on 1st December. A fall of just 9.0%. Some sectors - including pubs - haven't changed at all. Despite collecting less VAT at the point of sale, these businesses will be expected to pay the same amount of VAT as before. This is a shocking state of affairs, that means the small business sector is actually paying for Gordon Brown's much heralded fiscal stimulus.

Gold Price Prediction Puts Spotlight on Brown

A leading gold bullion trader predicts that gold could rise to $2,000 per ounce by the end of next year. Tom Fitzpatrick who is the chief technical strategist for Citigroup says the wave of liquidity being poured into the global economy will see a flight to gold. The current price is $812 per ounce. UK Prime Minister Gordon Brown is famous for selling half of the UK's gold reserves between 1998-2000 at the bottom of the market. The Treasury secured an average price of $275 per ounce. So much for our leader's financial expertise.

25 November 2008

The Great Labour Rip-Off

Welcome to the land of the Great Labour Rip-Off. Yes, we're finally getting the socialist tax regime we deserve. After 11 years of pretending they were business and entrepreneur friendly we are now getting the traditional Labour tax treatment.

For those who haven't fully digested yesterday's news, presented by Alistair Darling as an answer to the recession, many sections of the population are heading for a 60% plus rate of marginal tax.

Changes to National Insurance (NIC), tax thresholds and the imposition of 45% top rate of tax, will mean people at both ends of the income spectrum will have see less than 40p from each additional £ they earn. This is Scandinavian levels of taxation without the Scandinavian level of public services. I know, I used to live there.

During the early 1990s I was a higher earner living in Denmark, which had a top tax rate of 62%. Interestingly, this top rate included local income which was effectively the rates - now council tax. On top of this all my mortgage interest (and any other loan interest) was tax deductible. Secondly as a family, we claimed £120 per month per child in family allowance. When all the calculations were made my effective taxation rate was less than 30% of total income - and I was earning £65k a year in 1992, equivalent to say £150k now.

When everything was weighed up I was paying about the same net level of tax as I would have done under the then UK regime of John Major. But living in Denmark meant a World Class health system, clean streets and low crime. Soon, in Gordon Brown's socialist dystopia, you will have marginal tax rates of over 60%, with council tax, water rates, prescription charges, parking charges at your local hospital combined with third world levels of public services. How have we got here?

24 November 2008

Proposed VAT Cut - Not 2.5%

The widely reported speculation that VAT is to be cut from 17.5% to 15% and wil ead to a 2.5% reduction in retail prices requires some adjustment. Contrary to many reports, that the VAT cut will save £2.50 for every £100 spent, the actual figure will be nearer £2.13.

The maths is as follows:

Retail price of £100. To get the pre-VAT price divide £100 by 1.175. Net price = £85.11 (£85.1064 rounded). To get the new VAT inclusive price with 15% VAT, multiply this figure by 1.15. Equals £97.87 (£97.87234 rounded). Divide this into £100 and you get a reduction of 2.13% (2.1278 rounded).

22 November 2008

Government to Lower VAT

According to a report posted this evening on the Telegraph.co.uk website, the Chancellor of the Exchequer Alistair Darling is about to announce a temporary cut in the rate of VAT (Value Added Tax). The reduction would be from 17.5% to 15%. This would be the minimum rate allowed by the EU.

The reduction is estimated to cost £12.5 billion. Essentially, the reduction is the reverse of Margaret Thatcher's approach. Thatcher preferred indirect taxes (taxes on spending) rather than direct taxes (taxes on incomes). The Labour logic is that if you cut taxes on incomes people may just save more. If you cut taxes on spending you encourage them to spend more.

Now that the tax reduction story is in the public domain, the government must move quickly. As Darling found with rumours of reductions on stamp duty, any anticipation of a tax cut will encourage consumers to defer purchases. My guess, base on my knowledge as an unpaid collector of VAT, is that the new rate will come into effect on 1st December. VAT is an extremely complicated tax to administer at the best of times and the change will create unproductive extra work for several hundred thousand small businesses and retailers. By 1st December my own business will be two thirds of the way through my VAT quarter. Meaning that some of my VAT will be charged at the old rate and some at the newer. I suspect I will be required to make two separate VAT returns for the quarter.

06 November 2008

House Prices Back to 2005 Levels

On the day that the BoE cut base rates to 3%, Britain's biggest home loan provider, The Halifax, reports that house prices fell 15% in the year to October. House prices are now back to the same level as 2005. Wiping out 4 years of gains.

Bank Slashes Rates - Now 3%

The Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) today slashed the minimum lending rate to 3%. This is the lowest since 1955 and the first time a cut of more than 0.5% has been implemented since Gordon Brown gave it independence in 1997.

Business leaders welcomed the move. An act of desperation to stave of the worst effects of recession. However, the major lenders appeared unlikely to pass on much of the 1.5% reduction.

Meanwhile, despite the business community welcoming the news, the FTSE fell 5.7%.

The reduction in rates is seen as an overt signal that inflation is no longer a threat.