According to a report posted this evening on the Telegraph.co.uk website, the Chancellor of the Exchequer Alistair Darling is about to announce a temporary cut in the rate of VAT (Value Added Tax). The reduction would be from 17.5% to 15%. This would be the minimum rate allowed by the EU.
The reduction is estimated to cost £12.5 billion. Essentially, the reduction is the reverse of Margaret Thatcher's approach. Thatcher preferred indirect taxes (taxes on spending) rather than direct taxes (taxes on incomes). The Labour logic is that if you cut taxes on incomes people may just save more. If you cut taxes on spending you encourage them to spend more.
Now that the tax reduction story is in the public domain, the government must move quickly. As Darling found with rumours of reductions on stamp duty, any anticipation of a tax cut will encourage consumers to defer purchases. My guess, base on my knowledge as an unpaid collector of VAT, is that the new rate will come into effect on 1st December. VAT is an extremely complicated tax to administer at the best of times and the change will create unproductive extra work for several hundred thousand small businesses and retailers. By 1st December my own business will be two thirds of the way through my VAT quarter. Meaning that some of my VAT will be charged at the old rate and some at the newer. I suspect I will be required to make two separate VAT returns for the quarter.
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